SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Under-21s win with a probability of 70.69%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Leicester City Under-21s had a probability of 12.35%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Under-21s win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 1-0 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.82%), while for a Leicester City Under-21s win it was 1-2 (3.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal Under-21s | Draw | Leicester City Under-21s |
70.69% ( 0.36) | 16.96% ( -0.17) | 12.35% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 54.9% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.15% ( 0.36) | 34.85% ( -0.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.18% ( 0.4) | 56.82% ( -0.4) |
| Arsenal Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.24% ( 0.17) | 8.76% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.9% ( 0.42) | 30.1% ( -0.42) |
| Leicester City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.17% ( -0.05) | 39.83% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.5% ( -0.05) | 76.49% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal Under-21s | Draw | Leicester City Under-21s |
| 2-0 @ 10.34% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.52% ( -0.03)1-0 @ 8.5% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 8.4% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 7.73% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 5.11% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 4.7% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 3.56% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 2.49% ( 0.06)5-1 @ 2.29% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 2.17% ( 0.02)5-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.02)6-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.03)6-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.9% Total : 70.69% | 1-1 @ 7.82% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 4.38% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 3.49% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 16.96% | 1-2 @ 3.6% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 3.21% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.61% Total : 12.35% |
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