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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool Under-21s win with a probability of 91.16%. A draw had a probability of 6.3% and a win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 2.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool Under-21s win was 0-3 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-4 (10.62%) and 0-2 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.88%), while for a Derby County Under-21s win it was 2-1 (0.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Derby County Under-21s | Draw | Liverpool Under-21s |
2.58% ( -0.17) | 6.25% ( -0.63) | 91.16% ( 0.8) |
| Both teams to score 44.15% ( 2.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 81.06% ( 2.95) | 18.94% ( -2.95) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 63.43% ( 4.17) | 36.57% ( -4.17) |
| Derby County Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 45.2% ( 1.98) | 54.8% ( -1.98) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.24% ( 1.15) | 87.76% ( -1.15) |
| Liverpool Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 97.68% ( 0.5) | 2.32% ( -0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 88.94% ( 1.81) | 11.06% ( -1.81) |
| Score Analysis |
| Derby County Under-21s | Draw | Liverpool Under-21s |
| Other @ 2.58% Total : 2.58% | 1-1 @ 2.88% ( -0.35) 2-2 @ 1.63% ( -0)0-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.33)Other @ 0.47% Total : 6.25% | 0-3 @ 11.29% ( -0.83) 0-4 @ 10.62% ( -0.19)0-2 @ 9.01% ( -1.17)0-5 @ 8% ( 0.28)1-3 @ 6.8% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 6.39% ( 0.27)1-2 @ 5.42% ( -0.35)0-6 @ 5.02% ( 0.42)1-5 @ 4.81% ( 0.44)0-1 @ 4.79% ( -0.92)1-6 @ 3.02% ( 0.42)0-7 @ 2.7% ( 0.35)2-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.1)2-4 @ 1.92% ( 0.19)1-7 @ 1.62% ( 0.3)2-5 @ 1.45% ( 0.21)0-8 @ 1.27% ( 0.22)2-6 @ 0.91% ( 0.17)Other @ 4.09% Total : 91.15% |
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