Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham Under-21s win with a probability of 49.79%. A win for Sunderland Under-21s had a probability of 30.36% and a draw had a probability of 19.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.08%) and 3-2 (5.46%). The likeliest Sunderland Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.09%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fulham Under-21s would win this match.
Result | ||
Fulham Under-21s | Draw | Sunderland Under-21s |
49.79% ( -6.52) | 19.84% ( 0.81) | 30.36% ( 5.7) |
Both teams to score 75.12% ( 2.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
77.7% ( 0.75) | 22.3% ( -0.75) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
58.69% ( 1.02) | 41.31% ( -1.03) |
Fulham Under-21s Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.07% ( -1.29) | 9.93% ( 1.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.14% ( -3.05) | 32.86% ( 3.05) |
Sunderland Under-21s Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.4% ( 3.51) | 16.6% ( -3.51) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.59% ( 5.95) | 46.4% ( -5.96) |
Score Analysis |
Fulham Under-21s | Draw | Sunderland Under-21s |
2-1 @ 7.89% ( -0.46) 3-1 @ 6.08% ( -0.74) 3-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.4% ( -0.81) 1-0 @ 3.81% ( -0.45) 4-1 @ 3.51% ( -0.66) 3-0 @ 3.38% ( -0.87) 4-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.2) 4-0 @ 1.95% ( -0.65) 4-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.1) 5-1 @ 1.62% ( -0.42) 5-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.18) 5-0 @ 0.9% ( -0.37) Other @ 4.29% Total : 49.79% | 2-2 @ 7.09% ( 0.39) 1-1 @ 6.84% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 3.27% ( 0.34) 0-0 @ 1.65% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.01% Total : 19.84% | 1-2 @ 6.14% ( 0.66) 2-3 @ 4.24% ( 0.66) 1-3 @ 3.67% ( 0.75) 0-1 @ 2.96% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 2.66% ( 0.42) 2-4 @ 1.91% ( 0.47) 1-4 @ 1.65% ( 0.48) 0-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.4) 3-4 @ 1.47% ( 0.29) Other @ 4.08% Total : 30.36% |
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