SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Under-21s win with a probability of 56.72%. A win for Middlesbrough Under-21s had a probability of 24.17% and a draw had a probability of 19.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.89%) and 0-2 (5.44%). The likeliest Middlesbrough Under-21s win was 2-1 (5.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Middlesbrough Under-21s | Draw | Chelsea Under-21s |
24.17% ( -0.32) | 19.1% ( 0.05) | 56.72% ( 0.27) |
| Both teams to score 72.1% ( -0.61) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 76.07% ( -0.6) | 23.92% ( 0.6) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 56.5% ( -0.81) | 43.5% ( 0.81) |
| Middlesbrough Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.08% ( -0.55) | 20.92% ( 0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.35% ( -0.87) | 53.64% ( 0.87) |
| Chelsea Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.17% ( -0.13) | 8.82% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.75% ( -0.31) | 30.25% ( 0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Middlesbrough Under-21s | Draw | Chelsea Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 5.49% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.08)1-0 @ 2.89% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 2.86% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 2.26% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.04)4-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.46% Total : 24.18% | 1-1 @ 7.01% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 6.66% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 1.85% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.78% Total : 19.1% | 1-2 @ 8.51% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 6.89% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.16)2-3 @ 5.39% ( -0.06)0-1 @ 4.48% ( 0.16)0-3 @ 4.4% ( 0.1)1-4 @ 4.18% ( 0)2-4 @ 3.27% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 2.67% ( 0.05)1-5 @ 2.03% ( -0.01)3-4 @ 1.71% ( -0.06)2-5 @ 1.59% ( -0.04)0-5 @ 1.3% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.87% Total : 56.72% |
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