Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool Under-21s win with a probability of 44.88%. A win for Sunderland Under-21s had a probability of 34.28% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.56%) and 2-3 (5.03%). The likeliest Sunderland Under-21s win was 2-1 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool Under-21s would win this match.
Result | ||
Sunderland Under-21s | Draw | Liverpool Under-21s |
34.28% ( 0.26) | 20.84% ( 0.12) | 44.88% ( -0.37) |
Both teams to score 73.21% ( -0.35) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
74.57% ( -0.48) | 25.43% ( 0.49) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
54.52% ( -0.63) | 45.48% ( 0.63) |
Sunderland Under-21s Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.63% ( -0.12) | 16.36% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.01% ( -0.21) | 45.98% ( 0.21) |
Liverpool Under-21s Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.53% ( -0.3) | 12.46% ( 0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.58% ( -0.63) | 38.42% ( 0.63) |
Score Analysis |
Sunderland Under-21s | Draw | Liverpool Under-21s |
2-1 @ 6.96% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.2% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 3.69% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 3.34% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 2.02% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.9% ( 0.01) 4-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.54% Total : 34.28% | 1-1 @ 7.69% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 7.24% ( 0) 3-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 2.04% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.84% Total : 20.84% | 1-2 @ 8% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 5.56% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 5.03% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 4.42% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 4.25% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.89% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 2.62% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.02) 3-4 @ 1.58% ( -0.04) 1-5 @ 1.2% ( -0.04) 2-5 @ 1.09% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.57% Total : 44.88% |
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