SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland Under-21s win with a probability of 45.51%. A win for Middlesbrough Under-21s had a probability of 33.69% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.63%) and 3-2 (5.06%). The likeliest Middlesbrough Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sunderland Under-21s | Draw | Middlesbrough Under-21s |
45.51% ( -0.17) | 20.79% ( 0.09) | 33.69% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 73.17% ( -0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 74.6% ( -0.4) | 25.4% ( 0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 54.56% ( -0.53) | 45.44% ( 0.52) |
| Sunderland Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.74% ( -0.21) | 12.26% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.01% ( -0.44) | 37.99% ( 0.43) |
| Middlesbrough Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.39% ( -0.15) | 16.61% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.58% ( -0.27) | 46.42% ( 0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sunderland Under-21s | Draw | Middlesbrough Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 8.05% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.63% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 4.48% ( 0.04)1-0 @ 4.27% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 3.14% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.96% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.65% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.02)5-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.68% Total : 45.51% | 1-1 @ 7.67% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 7.23% ( -0)3-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 2.04% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.83% Total : 20.79% | 1-2 @ 6.89% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 4.33% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 4.12% ( 0.01)0-1 @ 3.66% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.94% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.85% ( -0)3-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.03)Other @ 4.31% Total : 33.69% |
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