Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United Under-21s win with a probability of 69.87%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Stoke City Under-21s had a probability of 14.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.95%) and 2-0 (6.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.88%), while for a Stoke City Under-21s win it was 1-2 (3.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Leeds United Under-21s in this match.
Result | ||
Leeds United Under-21s | Draw | Stoke City Under-21s |
69.87% ( 0.06) | 15.58% ( -0.02) | 14.55% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 67.95% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
77.97% ( 0.05) | 22.03% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
59.06% ( 0.06) | 40.94% ( -0.06) |
Leeds United Under-21s Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.2% ( 0.02) | 5.8% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
77.69% ( 0.06) | 22.31% ( -0.05) |
Stoke City Under-21s Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.14% ( -0) | 27.87% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.53% ( -0) | 63.47% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Leeds United Under-21s | Draw | Stoke City Under-21s |
2-1 @ 8.37% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.95% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.55% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.22% ( 0) 4-1 @ 5.66% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 5.08% 1-0 @ 4.6% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 4.43% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 3.61% ( 0) 5-1 @ 3.22% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 2.52% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 2.06% ( 0) 4-3 @ 1.54% ( 0) 6-1 @ 1.53% ( 0.01) 6-0 @ 1.2% ( 0) 6-2 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 4.38% Total : 69.87% | 1-1 @ 5.88% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 2.16% 0-0 @ 1.62% ( -0) Other @ 0.57% Total : 15.58% | 1-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0) 0-1 @ 2.07% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.6% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.53% Total : 14.55% |
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