SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United Under-21s win with a probability of 75.51%. A draw had a probability of 13.1% and a win for Sunderland Under-21s had a probability of 11.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United Under-21s win was 1-3 with a probability of 7.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.29%) and 1-4 (6.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 2-2 (4.68%), while for a Sunderland Under-21s win it was 2-1 (2.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sunderland Under-21s | Draw | Leeds United Under-21s |
11.41% ( 0.04) | 13.07% ( 0.04) | 75.51% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 69.46% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 82.98% ( -0.12) | 17.02% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 66.28% ( -0.19) | 33.72% ( 0.19) |
| Sunderland Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.26% ( -0.06) | 27.74% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.69% ( -0.08) | 63.3% ( 0.07) |
| Leeds United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 96.11% ( -0.03) | 3.89% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 83.49% ( -0.11) | 16.51% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sunderland Under-21s | Draw | Leeds United Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 2.88% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2% ( 0)1-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.92% Total : 11.41% | 2-2 @ 4.68% ( 0.01) 1-1 @ 4.49% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.67% Total : 13.07% | 1-3 @ 7.89% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.29% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 6.41% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 6.15% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 5.06% ( -0)0-4 @ 5% ( 0)1-5 @ 4.16% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 4.11% ( -0.01)0-1 @ 3.5% ( 0.03)0-5 @ 3.25% ( -0.01)2-5 @ 2.67% ( -0.02)1-6 @ 2.25% ( -0.02)3-4 @ 1.76% ( -0.01)0-6 @ 1.76% ( -0.01)2-6 @ 1.45% ( -0.01)3-5 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)1-7 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.94% Total : 75.51% |
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