SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-21s win with a probability of 64.68%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers Under-21s had a probability of 16.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.74%) and 3-1 (7.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.3%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers Under-21s win it was 1-2 (4.59%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester City Under-21s | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers Under-21s |
64.68% ( 0.13) | 18.66% ( -0.04) | 16.65% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 60.39% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.71% ( 0.01) | 33.29% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.94% ( 0.01) | 55.06% ( -0.02) |
| Manchester City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.26% ( 0.03) | 9.73% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.6% ( 0.08) | 32.4% ( -0.08) |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.9% ( -0.1) | 33.09% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.31% ( -0.11) | 69.69% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester City Under-21s | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 9.67% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.74% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 7.51% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 7.5% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 4.37% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 4.15% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.95% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 2.42% ( 0)5-1 @ 2.04% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.84% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 1.13% ( 0)Other @ 4.58% Total : 64.68% | 1-1 @ 8.3% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.22% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.27% Total : 18.66% | 1-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 3.56% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.97% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.87% Total : 16.65% |
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