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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-21s win with a probability of 59.45%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s had a probability of 20.98% and a draw had a probability of 19.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.18%) and 1-3 (7.17%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s win was 2-1 (5.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s | Draw | Manchester City Under-21s |
20.98% ( 0.09) | 19.56% ( 0.01) | 59.45% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 65.56% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.67% ( 0.09) | 30.33% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.41% ( 0.11) | 51.59% ( -0.11) |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.95% ( 0.13) | 27.05% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.59% ( 0.16) | 62.41% ( -0.17) |
| Manchester City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.86% ( 0) | 10.13% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 66.66% ( 0.01) | 33.33% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s | Draw | Manchester City Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 5.37% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 3.58% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.68% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 2.34% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.34% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 3.66% Total : 20.98% | 1-1 @ 8.21% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.14% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 2.74% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.43% Total : 19.56% | 1-2 @ 9.39% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.18% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 7.17% ( -0.01)0-1 @ 6.28% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 5.48% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 4.69% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 4.1% ( -0)0-4 @ 3.14% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 2.68% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1.88% ( -0)0-5 @ 1.44% ( -0.01)2-5 @ 1.23% ( 0)3-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.64% Total : 59.45% |
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