SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-21s win with a probability of 48.22%. A win for Chelsea Under-21s had a probability of 30.17% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.92%) and 1-0 (5.77%). The likeliest Chelsea Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester City Under-21s | Draw | Chelsea Under-21s |
48.22% ( 0.12) | 21.61% ( 0) | 30.17% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 68.03% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.7% ( -0.09) | 31.29% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.26% ( -0.1) | 52.73% ( 0.11) |
| Manchester City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.39% ( 0.01) | 13.61% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.24% ( 0.01) | 40.75% ( -0.01) |
| Chelsea Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.75% ( -0.11) | 21.25% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.83% ( -0.17) | 54.16% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester City Under-21s | Draw | Chelsea Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 8.91% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.92% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 5.77% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 5.75% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.82% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.95% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.29% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.91% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 1.18% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.18% ( 0)5-2 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 3.04% Total : 48.22% | 1-1 @ 8.93% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.9% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 2.89% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.52% Total : 21.61% | 1-2 @ 6.92% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.48% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.57% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.56% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)3-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.7% Total : 30.17% |
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