SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-21s win with a probability of 49.64%. A win for Manchester United Under-21s had a probability of 28.25% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.82%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Manchester United Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.64%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester City Under-21s | Draw | Manchester United Under-21s |
49.64% ( -0.14) | 22.11% ( 0.06) | 28.25% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 64.68% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.91% ( -0.23) | 35.09% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.91% ( -0.26) | 57.09% ( 0.27) |
| Manchester City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.48% ( -0.13) | 14.53% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.45% ( -0.25) | 42.55% ( 0.26) |
| Manchester United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.68% ( -0.07) | 24.33% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.29% ( -0.1) | 58.72% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester City Under-21s | Draw | Manchester United Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 9.3% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 6.58% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.98% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 4.23% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 4.23% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.88% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.11% ( -0.02)4-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.49% Total : 49.64% | 1-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.57% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.53% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.38% Total : 22.11% | 1-2 @ 6.81% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 3.53% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.21% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.1% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.13% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.71% Total : 28.25% |
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