Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-21s win with a probability of 71.89%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for West Ham United Under-21s had a probability of 12.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.01%) and 1-3 (8.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.95%), while for a West Ham United Under-21s win it was 2-1 (3.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City Under-21s would win this match.
Result | ||
West Ham United Under-21s | Draw | Manchester City Under-21s |
12.26% ( -0) | 15.85% ( 0.22) | 71.89% ( -0.22) |
Both teams to score 59.23% ( -0.99) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.61% ( -1.17) | 29.39% ( 1.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
49.55% ( -1.44) | 50.45% ( 1.44) |
West Ham United Under-21s Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.8% ( -0.84) | 36.19% ( 0.84) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.02% ( -0.87) | 72.98% ( 0.87) |
Manchester City Under-21s Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.82% ( -0.32) | 7.18% ( 0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
73.92% ( -0.84) | 26.08% ( 0.84) |
Score Analysis |
West Ham United Under-21s | Draw | Manchester City Under-21s |
2-1 @ 3.53% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 2.64% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 1.34% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.97% Total : 12.26% | 1-1 @ 6.95% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 2.6% ( 0.17) 3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.26% Total : 15.85% | 1-2 @ 9.16% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 9.01% ( 0.31) 1-3 @ 8.04% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 7.91% ( 0.14) 0-1 @ 6.84% ( 0.34) 1-4 @ 5.3% ( -0.12) 0-4 @ 5.21% ( 0) 2-3 @ 4.09% ( -0.12) 1-5 @ 2.79% ( -0.11) 0-5 @ 2.75% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 2.69% ( -0.12) 2-5 @ 1.42% ( -0.09) 1-6 @ 1.23% ( -0.07) 0-6 @ 1.21% ( -0.04) 3-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.33% Total : 71.89% |
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