Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United Under-21s win with a probability of 69.6%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Nottingham Forest Under-21s had a probability of 13.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.77%) and 3-1 (7.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.3%), while for a Nottingham Forest Under-21s win it was 1-2 (3.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United Under-21s would win this match.