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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Under-21s win with a probability of 46.7%. A win for Crystal Palace Under-21s had a probability of 30.53% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.01%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Crystal Palace Under-21s win was 2-1 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crystal Palace Under-21s | Draw | Manchester United Under-21s |
30.53% ( 0.08) | 22.77% ( -0.02) | 46.7% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 63.87% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.17% ( 0.16) | 36.82% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41% ( 0.17) | 59% ( -0.17) |
| Crystal Palace Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.22% ( 0.13) | 23.77% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.07% ( 0.18) | 57.93% ( -0.17) |
| Manchester United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.8% ( 0.04) | 16.2% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.31% ( 0.07) | 45.69% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Crystal Palace Under-21s | Draw | Manchester United Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 7.23% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.53% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 3.98% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.46% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.9% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.89% Total : 30.53% | 1-1 @ 10.07% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.58% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 3.85% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.35% Total : 22.76% | 1-2 @ 9.17% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.01% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 6.38% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 5.56% 2-3 @ 3.99% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.87% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.53% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.82% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.76% ( -0)1-5 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 3.69% Total : 46.7% |
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