SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 57.97%. A win for Nottingham Forest Under-21s had a probability of 21.25% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.12%) and 1-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Harrogate Town in this match.
| Result | ||
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Nottingham Forest Under-21s |
57.97% ( -0.18) | 20.78% ( 0.04) | 21.25% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 61.34% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.05% ( 0.04) | 35.95% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.96% ( 0.04) | 58.04% ( -0.04) |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.74% ( -0.04) | 12.26% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62% ( -0.08) | 38% ( 0.09) |
| Nottingham Forest Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.92% ( 0.16) | 30.08% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.78% ( 0.19) | 66.22% ( -0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Nottingham Forest Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.12% ( -0.04)1-0 @ 7.74% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 6.83% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 5.68% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 4.1% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.58% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.98% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 2.15% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 0.9% ( -0)Other @ 3.37% Total : 57.97% | 1-1 @ 9.3% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 3.69% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.29% Total : 20.78% | 1-2 @ 5.59% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 4.43% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.66% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.92% Total : 21.25% |
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