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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest Under-21s win with a probability of 53.95%. A win for Middlesbrough Under-21s had a probability of 25.72% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.63%) and 2-0 (6.01%). The likeliest Middlesbrough Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nottingham Forest Under-21s | Draw | Middlesbrough Under-21s |
53.95% ( 0.56) | 20.33% ( -0.16) | 25.72% ( -0.4) |
| Both teams to score 69.07% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.58% ( 0.41) | 28.42% ( -0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.74% ( 0.51) | 49.26% ( -0.51) |
| Nottingham Forest Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.06% ( 0.29) | 10.94% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.86% ( 0.63) | 35.14% ( -0.63) |
| Middlesbrough Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.55% ( -0.04) | 22.45% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.02% ( -0.05) | 55.98% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nottingham Forest Under-21s | Draw | Middlesbrough Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 8.98% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.63% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 6.01% ( -0)1-0 @ 5.43% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 4.43% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 3.67% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 2.74% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 2.45% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 1.62% ( 0.05)4-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.03)5-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.37% Total : 53.95% | 1-1 @ 8.12% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 6.71% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 2.46% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.58% Total : 20.33% | 1-2 @ 6.06% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 3.67% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 3.34% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.02)3-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.23% Total : 25.72% |
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