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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace Under-21s win with a probability of 48.43%. A win for Stoke City Under-21s had a probability of 31.53% and a draw had a probability of 20%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.93%) and 2-3 (5.4%). The likeliest Stoke City Under-21s win was 2-1 (6.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crystal Palace Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stoke City Under-21s | Draw | Crystal Palace Under-21s |
31.53% ( 0.16) | 20.03% ( -0.04) | 48.43% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 75.13% ( 0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 77.45% ( 0.29) | 22.54% ( -0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 58.35% ( 0.4) | 41.64% ( -0.41) |
| Stoke City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.82% ( 0.22) | 16.18% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.35% ( 0.41) | 45.65% ( -0.41) |
| Crystal Palace Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.63% ( 0.07) | 10.36% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.14% ( 0.17) | 33.86% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stoke City Under-21s | Draw | Crystal Palace Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 6.31% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.83% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 3.05% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 2.78% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.98% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.74% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.69% ( 0)4-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.03)Other @ 4.32% Total : 31.53% | 2-2 @ 7.15% ( 0) 1-1 @ 6.92% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 3.28% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 1.68% ( -0.04)Other @ 1% Total : 20.03% | 1-2 @ 7.85% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 5.93% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 5.4% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.06)0-1 @ 3.8% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 3.36% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.26% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 3.06% ( 0.02)3-4 @ 1.86% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.85% ( -0.02)1-5 @ 1.52% ( 0)2-5 @ 1.39% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.86% Total : 48.43% |
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