SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Under-21s win with a probability of 56.94%. A win for Southampton Under-21s had a probability of 24.1% and a draw had a probability of 19%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.89%) and 3-2 (5.45%). The likeliest Southampton Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (6.85%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal Under-21s | Draw | Southampton Under-21s |
56.94% ( -0.65) | 18.95% ( 0.08) | 24.1% ( 0.57) |
| Both teams to score 72.61% ( 0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 76.74% ( 0.28) | 23.26% ( -0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 57.39% ( 0.38) | 42.6% ( -0.38) |
| Arsenal Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.43% ( -0.06) | 8.57% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.38% ( -0.14) | 29.62% ( 0.14) |
| Southampton Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.42% ( 0.54) | 20.58% ( -0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.89% ( 0.84) | 53.11% ( -0.85) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal Under-21s | Draw | Southampton Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 8.41% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 6.89% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 5.45% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 5.32% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 4.36% ( -0.12)1-0 @ 4.33% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 4.23% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 3.35% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.68% ( -0.08)5-1 @ 2.08% ( -0.03)4-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.03)5-2 @ 1.65% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.32% ( -0.04)Other @ 5.11% Total : 56.94% | 1-1 @ 6.85% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.65% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.06)0-0 @ 1.76% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.82% Total : 18.95% | 1-2 @ 5.41% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 3.51% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.08)0-1 @ 2.79% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.2% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.39% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.03)3-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.53% Total : 24.1% |
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