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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace Under-21s win with a probability of 39.99%. A win for Aston Villa Under-21s had a probability of 39.61% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-2 (5.03%) and 3-1 (4.9%). The likeliest Aston Villa Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.32%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crystal Palace Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Crystal Palace Under-21s | Draw | Aston Villa Under-21s |
39.99% ( -0.13) | 20.39% ( 0.02) | 39.61% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 76.06% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 77.8% ( -0.08) | 22.19% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 58.84% ( -0.11) | 41.15% ( 0.11) |
| Crystal Palace Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.27% ( -0.08) | 12.72% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.04% ( -0.16) | 38.95% ( 0.16) |
| Aston Villa Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.14% ( 0) | 12.85% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.78% ( 0.01) | 39.21% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Crystal Palace Under-21s | Draw | Aston Villa Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 7.13% 3-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.9% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 3.47% ( -0)1-0 @ 3.37% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.53% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.39% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.47% Total : 39.99% | 2-2 @ 7.32% ( 0) 1-1 @ 6.92% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 3.44% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.01)4-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 20.39% | 1-2 @ 7.09% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 5% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.85% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.44% ( 0.02)0-1 @ 3.35% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 2.57% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.49% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.01)3-4 @ 1.76% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)2-5 @ 1.05% 1-5 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 3.41% Total : 39.61% |
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