Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County Under-23s win with a probability of 41.1%. A win for Tottenham Hotspur Under-23s had a probability of 35.66% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County Under-23s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.62%) and 0-2 (5.57%). The likeliest Tottenham Hotspur Under-23s win was 2-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.