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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s win with a probability of 52.02%. A win for Stoke City Under-21s had a probability of 27.69% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.41%) and 0-2 (5.39%). The likeliest Stoke City Under-21s win was 2-1 (6.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.75%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stoke City Under-21s | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s |
27.69% ( -0.16) | 20.29% ( 0.01) | 52.02% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 71.24% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.58% ( -0.18) | 26.41% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 53.25% ( -0.23) | 46.74% ( 0.23) |
| Stoke City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.84% ( -0.19) | 20.15% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.56% ( -0.31) | 52.43% ( 0.31) |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.22% ( -0.02) | 10.77% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.21% ( -0.05) | 34.78% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stoke City Under-21s | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 6.21% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.69% ( -0.03)1-0 @ 3.48% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.31% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 2.79% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.02)4-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.82% Total : 27.69% | 1-1 @ 7.75% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.91% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 2.17% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.71% Total : 20.29% | 1-2 @ 8.63% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 6.41% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.39% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 5.14% ( -0.02)0-1 @ 4.84% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 4% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 3.57% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 2.86% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.23% ( 0.02)1-5 @ 1.59% ( 0)3-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.02)2-5 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.57% Total : 52.02% |
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