SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s win with a probability of 42.48%. A win for Aston Villa Under-21s had a probability of 36.01% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.25%) and 1-0 (4.73%). The likeliest Aston Villa Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s in this match.
| Result | ||
| Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s | Draw | Aston Villa Under-21s |
42.48% ( 0.01) | 21.5% ( -0.01) | 36.01% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 71.06% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.64% ( 0.04) | 28.35% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.81% ( 0.04) | 49.18% ( -0.05) |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.57% ( 0.02) | 14.42% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.65% ( 0.04) | 42.34% ( -0.04) |
| Aston Villa Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.03% ( 0.01) | 16.96% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.94% ( 0.02) | 47.05% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s | Draw | Aston Villa Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 8.14% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.25% ( 0)1-0 @ 4.73% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 4.66% ( 0)2-0 @ 4.59% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.96% 4-1 @ 2.54% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.26% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.43% ( 0)4-3 @ 1.34% ( 0)5-1 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 3.6% Total : 42.48% | 1-1 @ 8.4% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 7.22% ( 0)3-3 @ 2.76% ( 0)0-0 @ 2.44% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.68% Total : 21.5% | 1-2 @ 7.45% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.41% ( -0)0-1 @ 4.34% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 4.27% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.85% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.28% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.96% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.89% ( 0)3-4 @ 1.22% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 3.33% Total : 36.01% |
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