SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur Under-21s win with a probability of 43.94%. A win for Newcastle United Under-21s had a probability of 32.88% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest Newcastle United Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tottenham Hotspur Under-21s | Draw | Newcastle United Under-21s |
43.94% ( -0.1) | 23.18% ( 0.01) | 32.88% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 63.53% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.24% ( -0.04) | 37.76% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.99% ( -0.04) | 60% ( 0.04) |
| Tottenham Hotspur Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.37% ( -0.06) | 17.63% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.77% ( -0.1) | 48.23% ( 0.09) |
| Newcastle United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.13% ( 0.03) | 22.86% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.39% ( 0.04) | 56.6% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tottenham Hotspur Under-21s | Draw | Newcastle United Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 8.96% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7% 2-0 @ 6.07% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.18% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.82% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.51% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.25% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.96% Total : 43.94% | 1-1 @ 10.32% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.61% 0-0 @ 4.03% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.88% ( -0)Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.18% | 1-2 @ 7.62% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.95% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.39% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.75% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.25% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.38% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.2% ( 0)Other @ 3.19% Total : 32.88% |
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