SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton Under-21s win with a probability of 58.74%. A win for Newcastle United Under-21s had a probability of 22.08% and a draw had a probability of 19.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.13%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Newcastle United Under-21s win was 2-1 (5.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.55%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle United Under-21s | Draw | Southampton Under-21s |
22.08% ( -0.08) | 19.17% ( -0.1) | 58.74% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 68.88% ( 0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.17% ( 0.39) | 26.83% ( -0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 52.73% ( 0.49) | 47.27% ( -0.5) |
| Newcastle United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.91% ( 0.17) | 24.09% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.62% ( 0.25) | 58.37% ( -0.25) |
| Southampton Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.74% ( 0.15) | 9.25% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.72% ( 0.37) | 31.27% ( -0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newcastle United Under-21s | Draw | Southampton Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 5.37% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 3.17% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 3.04% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.55% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 2.26% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 2.64% Total : 22.08% | 1-1 @ 7.55% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 6.4% ( 0)3-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 2.23% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.59% Total : 19.17% | 1-2 @ 8.99% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 7.13% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 6.31% ( -0.06)0-1 @ 5.3% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 5.08% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 5.01% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 4.24% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 3.02% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 2.98% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 2.02% ( 0.03)2-5 @ 1.44% ( 0.03)3-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.03)0-5 @ 1.42% ( 0.02)Other @ 4.37% Total : 58.74% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
