Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest Under-21s win with a probability of 48.18%. A win for Newcastle United Under-21s had a probability of 29.56% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.65%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest Newcastle United Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nottingham Forest Under-21s would win this match.
Result | ||
Nottingham Forest Under-21s | Draw | Newcastle United Under-21s |
48.18% ( 0.08) | 22.26% ( -0.02) | 29.56% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 65.14% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.1% ( 0.08) | 34.91% ( -0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.12% ( 0.09) | 56.88% ( -0.09) |
Nottingham Forest Under-21s Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.05% ( 0.06) | 14.95% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.63% ( 0.11) | 43.37% ( -0.11) |
Newcastle United Under-21s Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.59% ( 0.01) | 23.41% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.6% ( 0.01) | 57.4% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Nottingham Forest Under-21s | Draw | Newcastle United Under-21s |
2-1 @ 9.18% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.65% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.32% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.81% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 4.22% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.76% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.01% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.9% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) 4-3 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 3.31% Total : 48.18% | 1-1 @ 9.66% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.66% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.5% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.39% Total : 22.26% | 1-2 @ 7.01% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.08% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.69% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.39% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.23% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.23% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 2.97% Total : 29.56% |
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