Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United Under-23s win with a probability of 66.88%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion Under-23s had a probability of 14.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United Under-23s win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 1-0 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.89%), while for a Brighton & Hove Albion Under-23s win it was 1-2 (4.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that West Ham United Under-23s would win this match.