Premier League 2 - Div 1 | Gameweek 17

Apr 4, 2022 at 7pm UK

Falmer Stadium

Brighton U23s
5 - 1
Derby U23s

Miller (19', 88'), Spong (40', 60' pen.), Peupion (45')
Leonard (23'), Roberts (69')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Stretton (31')
Thompson (22'), Sibley (22'), Stretton (52')

Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 1 clash between Brighton & Hove Albion Under-23s and Derby County Under-23s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brighton & Hove Albion Under-23s

Last Six:

Last Game: Spurs U23s 0-0 Brighton U23s
Monday, May 2 at 1pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
9	Crystal Palace Under-23s	24	1	33
10	Brighton & Hove Albion Under-23s	25	0	33
11	Everton Under-23s	26	-21	29

Goals
for

Goals
against

Clean
sheets

Derby County Under-23s

Last Six:

Last Game: Palace U23s 3-1 Derby U23s
Monday, May 9 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
12	Leeds United Under-23s	26	-5	27
13	Chelsea Under-23s	25	-9	25
14	Derby County Under-23s	24	-20	15

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion Under-23s win with a probability of 55.59%. A win for Derby County Under-23s had a probability of 24.09% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.78%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Derby County Under-23s win was 1-2 (5.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.38%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion Under-23s would win this match.

Result
Brighton & Hove Albion Under-23s	Draw	Derby County Under-23s
55.59%	20.32%	24.09%

Both teams to score 67.19%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.92%

30.07%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.71%

51.28%

Brighton & Hove Albion Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.96%

11.04%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.63%

35.36%

Derby County Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.52%

24.47%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.08%

58.92%

Score Analysis

Brighton & Hove Albion Under-23s 55.59%

Derby County Under-23s 24.09%

Draw 20.32%

Brighton & Hove Albion Under-23s	Draw	Derby County Under-23s
2-1 @ 9.23% 3-1 @ 6.78% 2-0 @ 6.56% 1-0 @ 5.95% 3-0 @ 4.82% 3-2 @ 4.78% 4-1 @ 3.74% 4-0 @ 2.66% 4-2 @ 2.63% 5-1 @ 1.65% 4-3 @ 1.23% 5-0 @ 1.17% 5-2 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.23% Total : 55.59%	1-1 @ 8.38% 2-2 @ 6.5% 0-0 @ 2.7% 3-3 @ 2.24% Other @ 0.49% Total : 20.32%	1-2 @ 5.9% 0-1 @ 3.8% 2-3 @ 3.05% 1-3 @ 2.77% 0-2 @ 2.68% 0-3 @ 1.26% 2-4 @ 1.07% 1-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.59% Total : 24.09%