Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion Under-23s win with a probability of 45.82%. A win for Everton Under-23s had a probability of 30.31% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Everton Under-23s win was 1-2 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion Under-23s would win this match.
