Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion Under-23s win with a probability of 53.39%. A win for Leeds United Under-23s had a probability of 26.16% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.56%) and 2-0 (5.98%). The likeliest Leeds United Under-23s win was 1-2 (6.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion Under-23s would win this match.
