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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Under-21s win with a probability of 41.12%. A win for Leeds United Under-21s had a probability of 39.34% and a draw had a probability of 19.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 6.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-2 (5.36%) and 3-1 (4.88%). The likeliest Leeds United Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa Under-21s | Draw | Leeds United Under-21s |
41.12% ( 0.34) | 19.54% ( -0.01) | 39.34% ( -0.33) |
| Both teams to score 79.51% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 82.03% ( 0.01) | 17.97% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 64.86% ( 0.01) | 35.14% ( -0.01) |
| Aston Villa Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.43% ( 0.1) | 10.57% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.68% ( 0.22) | 34.31% ( -0.22) |
| Leeds United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.91% ( -0.1) | 11.09% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.52% ( -0.21) | 35.48% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aston Villa Under-21s | Draw | Leeds United Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 6.51% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 5.36% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.88% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 3.01% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 2.96% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.74% ( 0.03)1-0 @ 2.63% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.22% ( 0.03)4-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.23% ( 0.02)5-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.78% Total : 41.12% | 2-2 @ 7.16% ( -0) 1-1 @ 5.79% ( -0)3-3 @ 3.93% 4-4 @ 1.21% 0-0 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.28% Total : 19.54% | 1-2 @ 6.37% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 5.25% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 4.67% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 2.88% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.02)0-1 @ 2.58% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.57% ( -0.03)3-4 @ 2.16% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.03)2-5 @ 1.27% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.02)1-5 @ 1.13% ( -0.02)3-5 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.47% Total : 39.34% |
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