Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Under-23s win with a probability of 49.58%. A win for Sunderland Under-23s had a probability of 27.6% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.85%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Sunderland Under-23s win was 1-2 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.