SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland Under-21s win with a probability of 47.7%. A win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 30.37% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.09%) and 2-0 (5.92%). The likeliest Derby County Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sunderland Under-21s | Draw | Derby County Under-21s |
47.7% ( 1.12) | 21.93% ( -0.02) | 30.37% ( -1.1) |
| Both teams to score 66.93% ( -0.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.22% ( -0.5) | 32.78% ( 0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.53% ( -0.58) | 54.47% ( 0.57) |
| Sunderland Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.67% ( 0.19) | 14.33% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.83% ( 0.37) | 42.17% ( -0.38) |
| Derby County Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.12% ( -0.86) | 21.88% ( 0.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.88% ( -1.32) | 55.12% ( 1.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sunderland Under-21s | Draw | Derby County Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 8.99% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.2)2-0 @ 5.92% ( 0.23)3-1 @ 5.82% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 4.43% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.83% ( 0.18)4-1 @ 2.83% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 2.15% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.86% ( 0.1)5-1 @ 1.1% ( 0.04)4-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.59% Total : 47.7% | 1-1 @ 9.26% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 6.83% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 3.14% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.47% Total : 21.93% | 1-2 @ 7.03% ( -0.13) 0-1 @ 4.76% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.62% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 3.56% ( -0.16)2-3 @ 3.46% ( -0.13)0-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.1)1-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.1)2-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.09)Other @ 3.43% Total : 30.37% |
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