SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City Under-21s win with a probability of 46.46%. A win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 30.72% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.03%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest Derby County Under-21s win was 2-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Norwich City Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Derby County Under-21s | Draw | Norwich City Under-21s |
30.72% ( 0.38) | 22.82% ( -0.09) | 46.46% ( -0.29) |
| Both teams to score 63.79% ( 0.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.02% ( 0.65) | 36.98% ( -0.65) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.83% ( 0.7) | 59.17% ( -0.7) |
| Derby County Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.26% ( 0.55) | 23.74% ( -0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.12% ( 0.78) | 57.88% ( -0.78) |
| Norwich City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.65% ( 0.14) | 16.35% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.03% ( 0.25) | 45.97% ( -0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Derby County Under-21s | Draw | Norwich City Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 7.27% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 5.58% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 4.01% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.48% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 1.92% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.25% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.91% Total : 30.72% | 1-1 @ 10.1% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 6.58% ( 0.07)0-0 @ 3.88% ( -0.13)3-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.34% Total : 22.81% | 1-2 @ 9.15% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 7.03% ( -0.19)0-2 @ 6.37% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 5.52% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.97% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 3.84% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 2.5% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.8% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 1.74% ( -0.02)1-5 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.63% Total : 46.46% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
