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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City Under-21s win with a probability of 69.27%. A win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 15.57% and a draw had a probability of 15.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City Under-21s win was 3-1 with a probability of 7.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.57%) and 4-1 (5.76%). The likeliest Derby County Under-21s win was 1-2 (3.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Norwich City Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Norwich City Under-21s | Draw | Derby County Under-21s |
69.27% ( 0.48) | 15.16% ( -0.18) | 15.57% ( -0.29) |
| Both teams to score 72.75% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 82.3% ( 0.32) | 17.7% ( -0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 65.26% ( 0.47) | 34.74% ( -0.47) |
| Norwich City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.13% ( 0.15) | 4.87% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 80.42% ( 0.44) | 19.58% ( -0.43) |
| Derby County Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.48% ( -0.03) | 23.52% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.44% ( -0.05) | 57.57% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Norwich City Under-21s | Draw | Derby County Under-21s |
| 3-1 @ 7.63% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.57% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 5.76% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 5.52% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.27% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.23% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 4.17% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 3.98% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 3.48% ( 0.07)1-0 @ 3.46% ( -0.06)5-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.05)5-0 @ 2.41% ( 0.05)4-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.02)6-1 @ 1.76% ( 0.05)6-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.04)5-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.02)6-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.04)Other @ 4.8% Total : 69.27% | 2-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.06) 1-1 @ 5.01% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 2.66% ( -0)0-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.87% Total : 15.16% | 1-2 @ 3.62% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.04)0-1 @ 1.66% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.04)3-4 @ 0.96% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.78% Total : 15.57% |
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