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CT
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Nov 9, 2021 at 7pm UK
Broadfield Stadium

Crawley
0 - 4
Saints U21s


Ashford (67')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Olaigbe (28', 58'), Mitchell (41'), Small (88')
Lancashire (27'), Doyle (50'), Chauke (56')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 71.91%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Southampton Under-21s had a probability of 10.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.15%), while for a Southampton Under-21s win it was 0-1 (3.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Crawley TownDrawSouthampton Under-21s
71.91%17.17%10.91%
Both teams to score 48.97%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60%40%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.63%62.36%
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.19%9.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.43%32.57%
Southampton Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.29%45.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.5%81.49%
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 71.9%
    Southampton Under-21s 10.91%
    Draw 17.17%
Crawley TownDrawSouthampton Under-21s
2-0 @ 12.08%
1-0 @ 10.4%
2-1 @ 9.46%
3-0 @ 9.36%
3-1 @ 7.33%
4-0 @ 5.43%
4-1 @ 4.25%
3-2 @ 2.87%
5-0 @ 2.52%
5-1 @ 1.98%
4-2 @ 1.67%
6-0 @ 0.98%
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 71.9%
1-1 @ 8.15%
0-0 @ 4.48%
2-2 @ 3.7%
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 17.17%
0-1 @ 3.51%
1-2 @ 3.19%
0-2 @ 1.37%
2-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 10.91%

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