Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest Under-23s win with a probability of 38.44%. A win for Southampton Under-23s had a probability of 38.04% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest Under-23s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.64%) and 0-2 (5.29%). The likeliest Southampton Under-23s win was 2-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
