Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest Under-23s win with a probability of 41.07%. A win for Sunderland Under-23s had a probability of 36.42% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest Under-23s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.74%) and 0-2 (5.09%). The likeliest Sunderland Under-23s win was 2-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
