Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley Under-23s win with a probability of 43.01%. A win for Reading Under-23s had a probability of 35.19% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley Under-23s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.3%) and 0-1 (5.14%). The likeliest Reading Under-23s win was 2-1 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burnley Under-23s would win this match.