Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City Under-23s win with a probability of 46.91%. A win for Sunderland Under-23s had a probability of 28.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.28%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Sunderland Under-23s win was 1-2 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
