Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough Under-23s win with a probability of 43.31%. A win for Sunderland Under-23s had a probability of 33.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.51%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest Sunderland Under-23s win was 1-2 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough Under-23s would win this match.
Result | ||
Middlesbrough Under-23s | Draw | Sunderland Under-23s |
43.31% | 23.66% | 33.02% |
Both teams to score 61.8% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.94% | 40.06% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.57% | 62.43% |
Middlesbrough Under-23s Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.18% | 18.82% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.75% | 50.25% |
Sunderland Under-23s Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.12% | 23.88% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.92% | 58.07% |
Score Analysis |
Middlesbrough Under-23s | Draw | Sunderland Under-23s |
2-1 @ 8.98% 1-0 @ 7.51% 2-0 @ 6.27% 3-1 @ 5% 3-2 @ 3.58% 3-0 @ 3.49% 4-1 @ 2.09% 4-2 @ 1.5% 4-0 @ 1.46% Other @ 3.45% Total : 43.31% | 1-1 @ 10.74% 2-2 @ 6.43% 0-0 @ 4.49% 3-3 @ 1.71% Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.65% | 1-2 @ 7.7% 0-1 @ 6.44% 0-2 @ 4.61% 1-3 @ 3.68% 2-3 @ 3.07% 0-3 @ 2.2% 1-4 @ 1.32% 2-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.92% Total : 33.02% |
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