Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 48.76%. A win for Arsenal had a probability of 27.51% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.95%) and 0-2 (7.7%). The likeliest Arsenal win was 2-1 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
