Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 83.42%. A draw had a probability of 11% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 5.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.24%) and 4-0 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.15%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 1-2 (1.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
