Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 45.45%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 28.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (8.35%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-0 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Arsenal in this match.
