Brighton
0 - 1
Arsenal

Dunk (59'), Jahanbakhsh (65')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Lacazette (66')

Preview

Rob Holding: 'We must build on successive wins'

Mikel Arteta keen to take the pressure off Bukayo Saka

Mikel Arteta delighted with "brilliant" Lacazette goal in Brighton win

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 45.45%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 28.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (8.35%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-0 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Arsenal in this match.

Result
Brighton & Hove Albion	Draw	Arsenal
28.26%	26.29%	45.45%

Both teams to score 50.53%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.32%

53.67%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.83%

75.16%

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.09%

33.91%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.42%

70.58%

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.45%

23.55%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.4%

57.6%

Score Analysis

Brighton & Hove Albion 28.26%

Arsenal 45.44%

Draw 26.28%

Brighton & Hove Albion	Draw	Arsenal
1-0 @ 8.64% 2-1 @ 6.75% 2-0 @ 4.67% 3-1 @ 2.44% 3-2 @ 1.76% 3-0 @ 1.68% Other @ 2.32% Total : 28.26%	1-1 @ 12.48% 0-0 @ 7.98% 2-2 @ 4.88% Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.28%	0-1 @ 11.54% 1-2 @ 9.03% 0-2 @ 8.35% 1-3 @ 4.35% 0-3 @ 4.02% 2-3 @ 2.35% 1-4 @ 1.57% 0-4 @ 1.46% Other @ 2.77% Total : 45.44%