Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 62.37%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 16.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.5%) and 1-2 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 1-0 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.