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Premier League | Gameweek 17
Jan 3, 2021 at 2.15pm UK
St James' Park
LL

Newcastle
1 - 2
Leicester

Carroll (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Maddison (55'), Tielemans (72')
Tielemans (60'), Justin (81')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 62.37%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 16.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.5%) and 1-2 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 1-0 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawLeicester City
16.08%21.54%62.37%
Both teams to score 48.98%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.36%47.64%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.16%69.84%
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.42%42.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.06%78.93%
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.3%14.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.12%42.88%
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 16.08%
    Leicester City 62.36%
    Draw 21.54%
Newcastle UnitedDrawLeicester City
1-0 @ 5.34%
2-1 @ 4.37%
2-0 @ 2.28%
3-1 @ 1.25%
3-2 @ 1.19%
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 16.08%
1-1 @ 10.24%
0-0 @ 6.26%
2-2 @ 4.19%
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 21.54%
0-1 @ 12%
0-2 @ 11.5%
1-2 @ 9.82%
0-3 @ 7.35%
1-3 @ 6.28%
0-4 @ 3.53%
1-4 @ 3.01%
2-3 @ 2.68%
0-5 @ 1.35%
2-4 @ 1.29%
1-5 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 62.36%

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