Premier League | Gameweek 4

Oct 4, 2020 at 2pm UK

Emirates Stadium

Arsenal
2 - 1
Sheff Utd

Saka (61'), Pepe (64')

FT(HT: 0-0)

McGoldrick (83')
Berge (38')

Bukayo Saka opens up on dream week after England call-up and Arsenal goal

Mikel Arteta hails Hector Bellerin for turning his Arsenal career around

Arsenal boss Mikel Arteta hails Bukayo Saka maturity

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 42.39%. A win for Sheffield United had a probability of 30.63% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Sheffield United win was 0-1 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.

Result
Arsenal	Draw	Sheffield United
42.39%	26.98%	30.63%

Both teams to score 49.73%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.69%

55.31%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.47%

76.52%

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.2%

25.79%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.25%

60.75%

Sheffield United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.01%

32.98%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.43%

69.57%

Score Analysis

Arsenal 42.38%

Sheffield United 30.63%

Draw 26.97%

Arsenal	Draw	Sheffield United
1-0 @ 11.52% 2-1 @ 8.66% 2-0 @ 7.81% 3-1 @ 3.91% 3-0 @ 3.53% 3-2 @ 2.17% 4-1 @ 1.33% 4-0 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.26% Total : 42.38%	1-1 @ 12.78% 0-0 @ 8.51% 2-2 @ 4.8% Other @ 0.88% Total : 26.97%	0-1 @ 9.44% 1-2 @ 7.09% 0-2 @ 5.23% 1-3 @ 2.62% 0-3 @ 1.94% 2-3 @ 1.78% Other @ 2.53% Total : 30.63%