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Premier League | Gameweek 4
Oct 4, 2020 at 2pm UK
Emirates Stadium
SU

Arsenal
2 - 1
Sheff Utd

Saka (61'), Pepe (64')
FT(HT: 0-0)
McGoldrick (83')
Berge (38')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 42.39%. A win for Sheffield United had a probability of 30.63% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Sheffield United win was 0-1 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.

Result
ArsenalDrawSheffield United
42.39%26.98%30.63%
Both teams to score 49.73%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.69%55.31%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.47%76.52%
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.2%25.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.25%60.75%
Sheffield United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.01%32.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.43%69.57%
Score Analysis
    Arsenal 42.38%
    Sheffield United 30.63%
    Draw 26.97%
ArsenalDrawSheffield United
1-0 @ 11.52%
2-1 @ 8.66%
2-0 @ 7.81%
3-1 @ 3.91%
3-0 @ 3.53%
3-2 @ 2.17%
4-1 @ 1.33%
4-0 @ 1.2%
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 42.38%
1-1 @ 12.78%
0-0 @ 8.51%
2-2 @ 4.8%
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 26.97%
0-1 @ 9.44%
1-2 @ 7.09%
0-2 @ 5.23%
1-3 @ 2.62%
0-3 @ 1.94%
2-3 @ 1.78%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 30.63%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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