Premier League | Gameweek 3

Sep 28, 2020 at 8pm UK

Anfield

Liverpool
3 - 1
Arsenal

Mane (28'), Robertson (34'), Jota (88')
Mane (3'), Alexander-Arnold (49')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Lacazette (25')
Bellerin (68'), Ceballos (72')

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The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 63.45%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Arsenal had a probability of 17.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.33%) and 1-0 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.93%), while for an Arsenal win it was 1-2 (4.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.

Result
Liverpool	Draw	Arsenal
63.45%	19.52%	17.03%

Both teams to score 58.01%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.26%

36.73%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.1%

58.9%

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.98%

11.02%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.68%

35.32%

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.19%

34.81%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.46%

71.54%

Score Analysis

Liverpool 63.45%

Arsenal 17.03%

Draw 19.52%

Liverpool	Draw	Arsenal
2-1 @ 9.85% 2-0 @ 9.33% 1-0 @ 8.46% 3-1 @ 7.24% 3-0 @ 6.86% 4-1 @ 3.99% 3-2 @ 3.82% 4-0 @ 3.78% 4-2 @ 2.11% 5-1 @ 1.76% 5-0 @ 1.67% 5-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.66% Total : 63.45%	1-1 @ 8.93% 2-2 @ 5.2% 0-0 @ 3.84% 3-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 0.22% Total : 19.52%	1-2 @ 4.71% 0-1 @ 4.05% 0-2 @ 2.14% 2-3 @ 1.83% 1-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.65% Total : 17.03%