Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 63.45%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Arsenal had a probability of 17.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.33%) and 1-0 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.93%), while for an Arsenal win it was 1-2 (4.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
