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EFL Cup | Fourth Round
Oct 1, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Anfield
AL

Liverpool
0 - 0
Arsenal

Arsenal win 5-4 on penalties

Minamino (15'), Wilson (75')
FT
(aet)

Xhaka (51'), Soares (90+2')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 54.45%. A win for Arsenal had a probability of 23.1% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.06%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest Arsenal win was 1-2 (6.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%).

Result
LiverpoolDrawArsenal
54.45%22.46%23.1%
Both teams to score 57.98%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.45%41.55%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.05%63.95%
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.79%15.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.14%43.86%
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.39%31.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.98%68.02%
Score Analysis
    Liverpool 54.45%
    Arsenal 23.1%
    Draw 22.45%
LiverpoolDrawArsenal
2-1 @ 9.82%
1-0 @ 9.06%
2-0 @ 8.53%
3-1 @ 6.16%
3-0 @ 5.35%
3-2 @ 3.55%
4-1 @ 2.9%
4-0 @ 2.52%
4-2 @ 1.67%
5-1 @ 1.09%
5-0 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 54.45%
1-1 @ 10.42%
2-2 @ 5.65%
0-0 @ 4.81%
3-3 @ 1.36%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 22.45%
1-2 @ 6.01%
0-1 @ 5.54%
0-2 @ 3.19%
1-3 @ 2.31%
2-3 @ 2.17%
0-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 23.1%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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