Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 42.6%. A win for Arsenal had a probability of 31.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Arsenal win was 0-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
