MX23RW : Thursday, August 11 12:12:02
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Aug 6, 2022 at 3pm UK at Vitality Stadium
Bournemouth
2 - 0
Aston Villa
Lerma (2'), Moore (80')
Smith (39'), Pearson (45+2'), Billing (73')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ings (23'), Ramsey (45+3'), Luiz (90+3')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Bournemouth 1-2 Aston Villa

Beaten just three times in 23 home games last season, albeit at Championship level, Bournemouth will be no pushovers at their own headquarters - but there is a gulf in quality between these two squads. Since returning to the top-flight themselves three years ago, Villa have built a setup worthy of the top half, and can use their superior firepower to take three points back to Birmingham. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 47.63%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 27.63% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.41%) and 0-2 (8.08%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 1-0 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
BournemouthDrawAston Villa
27.63% (-0.734 -0.73) 24.73% (0.343 0.34) 47.63% (0.398 0.4)
Both teams to score 54.98% (-1.684 -1.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.34% (-1.966 -1.97)47.66% (1.974 1.97)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.14% (-1.842 -1.84)69.86% (1.85 1.85)
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.77% (-1.558 -1.56)31.23% (1.566 1.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.43% (-1.856 -1.86)67.57% (1.864 1.86)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.94% (-0.616 -0.62)20.06% (0.625 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.71% (-1.007 -1.01)52.29% (1.014 1.01)
Score Analysis
    Bournemouth 27.63%
    Aston Villa 47.63%
    Draw 24.73%
BournemouthDrawAston Villa
1-0 @ 7.29% (0.285 0.29)
2-1 @ 6.82% (-0.158 -0.16)
2-0 @ 4.24% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.64% (-0.181 -0.18)
3-2 @ 2.12% (-0.19 -0.19)
3-0 @ 1.65% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 27.63%
1-1 @ 11.71% (0.24 0.24)
0-0 @ 6.27% (0.499 0.5)
2-2 @ 5.47% (-0.238 -0.24)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.126 -0.13)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.73%
0-1 @ 10.06% (0.616 0.62)
1-2 @ 9.41% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.08% (0.349 0.35)
1-3 @ 5.04% (-0.095 -0.09)
0-3 @ 4.33% (0.105 0.11)
2-3 @ 2.93% (-0.187 -0.19)
1-4 @ 2.02% (-0.078 -0.08)
0-4 @ 1.74% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.18% (-0.1 -0.1)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 47.63%

Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Bournemouth 1-2 Real Sociedad
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Bournemouth 0-1 Bristol City
Saturday, July 23 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Braga 2-1 Bournemouth
Tuesday, July 19 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Bournemouth 2-1 Sheff Weds
Friday, July 15 at 5.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Bournemouth 1-0 Millwall
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Bournemouth 1-0 Nott'm Forest
Tuesday, May 3 at 7pm in Championship
Last Game: Rennes 1-2 Aston Villa
Saturday, July 30 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Man Utd 2-2 Aston Villa
Saturday, July 23 at 10.45am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Aston Villa 1-0 Leeds
Sunday, July 17 at 5.35am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Walsall 0-4 Aston Villa
Saturday, July 9 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Man City 3-2 Aston Villa
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 1-1 Burnley
Thursday, May 19 at 8pm in Premier League
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